Doug Ducey remains popular across the state. Though current issues may align more with Masters’ views than Kelly’s, remember that Arizona rebuked Trump in 2020, and that anti-Trump Republican Gov. With the fact that Masters has never before held office and keeps far-right Christian nationalists on his campaign payroll, even right-leaning independents have little reason to support him. ![]() These are largely favorable issues for Republicans this year, but the party jumped the gun by nominating Masters, a former Thiel Foundation executive endorsed by former President Donald Trump. In the Grand Canyon State, there have been two broad yet interrelated issues defining elections over the last 15-20 years: Border security/crime and the economy/housing market. Without stalling any further, I will now lock in my predictions for these six nationally significant Senate races: My map projects 47 safe seats for each political party come January, leaving the final six up for grabs. (Sorry Colorado and North Carolina, your races aren’t that close.) Long story short, I’m calling 29 of these 35 races as “safe” for one party, and I have indicated my “safe” predictions on the 270toWin map here. This election, there are 35 Senate seats up for grabs, 14 of which are currently held by Democrats and 21 currently held by Republicans. While the so-called “red wave” should hold in the House, just how much will post- Roe political headwinds and a bizarre slate of candidates impede Republicans’ bid to retake our upper chamber? That’s the question I plan to answer today. Wade by five GOP-appointed Supreme Court justices - some forecasters project that the Senate will remain narrowly in Democratic hands. 8.īut in this crazy political year - which featured the reversal of Roe v. Because these midterms are seen as a referendum on President Joe Biden’s unpopularity and the country is almost certainly heading deeper into recession, conventional wisdom would suggest that Republicans win back control of both the Senate and House of Representatives on Nov. In just 12 days, millions of Americans will vote in the high-stakes 2022 midterm elections. This map leaves the final six seats up for grabs. ![]() A map depicting the 2022 midterm elections.
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